US identities
Repaired 32 broken-encoding text fields, including 20 candidate names. Diacritic matching now preserves accented names. Original source hash and before/after changes are retained.
POLITYIQ / DATA QUALITY / OCTOBER 22, 2026
Checked.
Corrected.
Still accountable.
Corrections published; primary-source verification remains partial. This is a dated audit, with structural checks across the local inventories and selected primary-source reviews. It is not a claim that every source record has been independently verified.
Download the full audit, evidence and review queue
What was checked.
| Dataset | Coverage | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Canadian federal archive | 2,666 records · 31 firms | 19 primary-reviewed · 73 flagged |
| US candidates | 1,963 names · 661 races | 38 forecast races need identity review |
| BC nominations | 353 candidates · 93 districts | Exact match with Elections BC candidate CSV |
| Ontario inventory | 444 municipalities · 1,713 races | Structural checks; not individual ballot certification |
| Toronto polls | 26 poll rows | 10 primary-source checks recorded |
What changed.
US forecast labels
38 races have unresolved source-to-directory name or party discrepancies, including possible name variants. Their candidate-specific labels are withheld, source estimates use model-slot labels, and these races are excluded from personal pick-board choices. Raw source names remain in provenance; probabilities are not reassigned to replacement candidates.
Canadian federal polls
29 record-level metadata/figure patches applied. Fixed a mixed all-respondent/decided Liaison record, Green support in a Léger release, and a Mainstreet sample transcription. Matching duplicate entries were consolidated with original transcriptions retained.
Overlapping trackers
The final Nanos April 27 one-day and two-day samples are retained as distinct, labelled variants. The two-day ballot figures and decided sample were corrected against the original report.
Toronto polls
Nine Liaison releases and the latest Nanos release now have primary-source links and review labels; remaining supplied rows stay explicitly unverified.
What still needs work.
BC results
Candidate coverage is checked, but resultsStatus is not-connected. Connect and test the official results feed before promising live BC returns.
Canadian polling
73 records remain flagged. They remain in the ledger but are excluded from chart dots and descriptive trend lines. Link availability is not verification of a poll’s figures.
US model identities
38 races need source-model reconciliation. Candidate directory date remains 2026-10-21. Name variants and real roster conflicts require individual review.
Toronto compilation
16 supplied poll rows still lack a recorded primary-source check.
Election-night updates
No test before polls close proves that every upstream provider will publish complete, timely election-night data. Live returns, projections and rehearsal data must remain separate.
The evidence.
Elections BC candidate CSV (opens in a new tab): 353 exact candidate/district/party matches; no missing or extra entries. The downloaded file’s fingerprint is preserved in the audit JSON.
Clerk of the US House member data (opens in a new tab): 433 automated officeholder state/surname matches against the October 1, 2026 snapshot. This is a consistency test, not proof of ballot eligibility or redistricted-seat incumbency. 0 entries remain unmatched by that rule.
All 93 BC historical districts pass candidate-total, valid/rejected-ballot and winner-count arithmetic checks. Ontario has 0 positive-vote records in the pre-election imported snapshot. A source-supplied zero is not treated as counted election-night votes.
US source-model identity review queue (38)
AZ-8
Kirsten Engel is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Debbie Lesko is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
CA-4
Ray Riehle is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
CA-6
Kevin Kiley is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
CO-3
Heather Barton is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
CO-4
Tim Veldhuizen is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
CO-5
Roy Matthewson is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
CT-1
John Larson is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
HI-2
Edward Codelia is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
IN-5
J. D. Ford is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
KS-1
Craig Musser is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
KS-4
Paul Catanese is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
LA-5
Source model has no candidate names.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
LA-6
Source model has no candidate names.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
MI-13
T.P. Nykoriak is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
MN-3
Quentin Wittrock is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
MN-5
Dalia Al-Aqidi is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
MT-1
Kimberly Persico is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
OH-2
Jennifer Mazzuckelli is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
OH-4
Tamie Wilson is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
PA-1
John Hoban is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
PA-4
Madeleine Dean is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Milan Patel is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
PA-10
Isabelle Harman is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
PA-11
Jeffrey Wilder is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
TN-5
Andy Ogles is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
TN-6
Megan Barry is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Chris Monday is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
TX-7
Ngabo Espoir is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
TX-15
Monica De La Cruz is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
TX-20
Anthony Tristan is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
TX-21
Dan McQueen is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
TX-28
Adriel Ventura Lopez is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
VT-AL
Mark Coester is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
VA-5
Chris Register is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
WV-1
Isaiah Rucker is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
WV-2
Chris Whitcomb is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
WI-4
Purnima Nath is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
WI-8
Mark Scheffler is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
Iowa
Ashley Hinson is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
South Carolina
Darline Graham is not uniquely matched by name and party in the dated directory.
Candidate directory (opens in a new tab) · Source model (opens in a new tab)
Limits of this audit
- Only 19 national federal polling records have a full primary-source review; other archive records are transcriptions, not independently verified originals.
- House officeholder comparison uses an October 1 official snapshot. Senate official XML returned HTTP 403; no full Senate-officeholder primary check is claimed.
- No original XLS refresh was obtained during this audit; the US candidate directory remains the dated October 21 compilation.
- BC results feed is not connected. Election-night delivery is not certified by these data checks.